$ codex exec <prompt>
--- prompt ---
You are competing in AgentpitBench against three other AI agents.
Goal: win. Pick the outcome of this prediction market most likely to pay off.
You have 5 minutes and exactly one bet of 100 tokens.

Market: Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Outcomes: BET-M 33 / FORZE Reload | prices: BET-M 33 0.505, FORZE Reload 0.495 | closes: 2026-10-14T20:00:00Z

Use `bench --help` to inspect the market. You may research online.
The clock is hard: no bet placed within the 5 minutes forfeits the round. `bench market` shows seconds_left.
Finish with: bench bet --outcome <label> --confidence <0-1> --rationale '<one or two sentences>'
Optional: add --quote '<one line of trash talk for your rivals>' (max 120 chars, no links or @mentions). It goes on your public card.
Use single quotes around --rationale and --quote so "$" amounts survive the shell.

Your record over your last 18 rounds: 5-13, net P&L -946.9.
- Will Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +38.9
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | you picked Up | winner Down | lost | P&L -100.1
- Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -98.9
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-11? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 10? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -43.7
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9PM ET | you picked Up | winner Up | won | P&L +31.6
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8PM ET | you picked Down | winner Down | won | P&L +92.2
- Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-10-10? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-10-10? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +85.2
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Ducks vs. Jets | you picked Jets | winner Ducks | lost | P&L -100.0
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8PM ET | you picked Down | winner Down | won | P&L +47.9
- Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier  | you picked Nuclear TigeRES | winner PRIVATE | lost | P&L -100.0

--- output ---
WARNING: proceeding, even though we could not create PATH aliases: Refusing to create helper binaries under temporary dir "/tmp" (codex_home: AbsolutePathBuf("/tmp/apbh-codex-cfyty9vc/.codex"))
Reading additional input from stdin...
OpenAI Codex v0.161.0
--------
workdir: /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
model: gpt-6-astra
provider: openai
approval: never
sandbox: danger-full-access
reasoning effort: max
reasoning summaries: none
session id: 01a13833-427b-7732-aa73-cd9fabb9b84f
--------
user
You are competing in AgentpitBench against three other AI agents.
Goal: win. Pick the outcome of this prediction market most likely to pay off.
You have 5 minutes and exactly one bet of 100 tokens.

Market: Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Outcomes: BET-M 33 / FORZE Reload | prices: BET-M 33 0.505, FORZE Reload 0.495 | closes: 2026-10-14T20:00:00Z

Use `bench --help` to inspect the market. You may research online.
The clock is hard: no bet placed within the 5 minutes forfeits the round. `bench market` shows seconds_left.
Finish with: bench bet --outcome <label> --confidence <0-1> --rationale '<one or two sentences>'
Optional: add --quote '<one line of trash talk for your rivals>' (max 120 chars, no links or @mentions). It goes on your public card.
Use single quotes around --rationale and --quote so "$" amounts survive the shell.

Your record over your last 18 rounds: 5-13, net P&L -946.9.
- Will Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +38.9
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | you picked Up | winner Down | lost | P&L -100.1
- Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -98.9
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-11? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 10? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -43.7
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9PM ET | you picked Up | winner Up | won | P&L +31.6
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8PM ET | you picked Down | winner Down | won | P&L +92.2
- Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-10-10? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-10-10? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +85.2
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Ducks vs. Jets | you picked Jets | winner Ducks | lost | P&L -100.0
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8PM ET | you picked Down | winner Down | won | P&L +47.9
- Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier  | you picked Nuclear TigeRES | winner PRIVATE | lost | P&L -100.0

codex
I’ll check the market rules and available match evidence, then place the single 100-token bet before the deadline.

exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench --help' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 0ms:
usage: bench [-h] {market,book,history,bet} ...

Inspect the market and place your one bet.

positional arguments:
  {market,book,history,bet}
    market              Market snapshot: question, description, outcomes,
                        prices, end date
    book                Order book for one outcome
    history             Price history for the market
    bet                 Place your one 100-token bet. Works once.

options:
  -h, --help            show this help message and exit

web search: 
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench bet --help' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 0ms:
usage: bench bet [-h] --outcome OUTCOME --rationale RATIONALE --confidence
                 CONFIDENCE [--max-price MAX_PRICE] [--quote QUOTE]

options:
  -h, --help            show this help message and exit
  --outcome OUTCOME
  --rationale RATIONALE
  --confidence CONFIDENCE
                        0 to 1
  --max-price MAX_PRICE
                        worst price you accept (default: best ask + 0.05)
  --quote QUOTE         optional one-line trash talk for your rivals, shown on
                        your card (max 120 chars, no links)

exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench market' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 0ms:
{
  "question": "Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage",
  "description": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BET-M 33 and FORZE Reload in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"BET-M 33\" if BET-M 33 win the match against FORZE Reload.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"FORZE Reload\" if FORZE Reload win the match against BET-M 33.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event\u2019s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team\u2019s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.",
  "outcomes": [
    "BET-M 33",
    "FORZE Reload"
  ],
  "prices": [
    0.51,
    0.49
  ],
  "best_bid": 0.5,
  "best_ask": 0.52,
  "end_date": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
  "stake": 100.0,
  "seconds_left": 286
}

web search: "BET-M 33" "FORZE Reload" October 14 2026 ...
web search: 
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench history --help' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench book --help' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 0ms:
usage: bench history [-h] --outcome OUTCOME

options:
  -h, --help         show this help message and exit
  --outcome OUTCOME

 succeeded in 0ms:
usage: bench book [-h] --outcome OUTCOME

options:
  -h, --help         show this help message and exit
  --outcome OUTCOME

web search: site:hltv.org/matches "BET-M 33" "FORZE Reload" "October" ...
web search: 
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "bench book --outcome 'BET-M 33'" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "bench book --outcome 'FORZE Reload'" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "bench history --outcome 'BET-M 33'" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 85ms:
{
  "history": []
}

 succeeded in 93ms:
{
  "outcome": "FORZE Reload",
  "bids": [
    {
      "price": "0.41",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.37",
      "size": "13.51"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.36",
      "size": "43.89"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.35",
      "size": "34.29"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.34",
      "size": "84.71"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.33",
      "size": "1747.21"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.27",
      "size": "18.52"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.26",
      "size": "60"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.25",
      "size": "1279"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.22",
      "size": "125"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.19",
      "size": "320"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.18",
      "size": "988.6"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.17",
      "size": "357.3"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.15",
      "size": "1326.05"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.14",
      "size": "8"
    }
  ],
  "asks": [
    {
      "price": "0.46",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.47",
      "size": "16.14"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.48",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.49",
      "size": "20"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.5",
      "size": "76.28"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.51",
      "size": "122.44"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.53",
      "size": "10.64"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.54",
      "size": "10.87"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.55",
      "size": "11.11"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.57",
      "size": "11.63"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.58",
      "size": "31.9"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.59",
      "size": "20"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.6",
      "size": "130"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.61",
      "size": "1045.6"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.62",
      "size": "13.16"
    }
  ],
  "last_trade_price": "0.48"
}

 succeeded in 98ms:
{
  "outcome": "BET-M 33",
  "bids": [
    {
      "price": "0.54",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.53",
      "size": "16.14"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.52",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.51",
      "size": "20"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.5",
      "size": "76.28"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.49",
      "size": "122.44"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.47",
      "size": "10.64"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.46",
      "size": "10.87"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.45",
      "size": "11.11"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.43",
      "size": "11.63"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.42",
      "size": "31.9"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.41",
      "size": "20"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.4",
      "size": "130"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.39",
      "size": "1045.6"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.38",
      "size": "13.16"
    }
  ],
  "asks": [
    {
      "price": "0.59",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.63",
      "size": "13.51"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.64",
      "size": "43.89"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.65",
      "size": "34.29"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.66",
      "size": "84.71"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.67",
      "size": "1747.21"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.73",
      "size": "18.52"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.74",
      "size": "60"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.75",
      "size": "1279"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.78",
      "size": "125"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.81",
      "size": "320"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.82",
      "size": "988.6"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.83",
      "size": "357.3"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.85",
      "size": "1326.05"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.86",
      "size": "8"
    }
  ],
  "last_trade_price": "0.52"
}

web search: BET-M 33 FORZE Reload HLTV October 14 2026 odds NODWIN 13 ...
codex
BET-M is a modest favorite in the bookmaker odds I found, at roughly 54–55% after removing the margin. The order book shows a higher purchase price than the initial quote, so I’m checking that before choosing. [Odds source](https://www.sportingbet.com/es-cl/sports/eventos/genone-6666-5%3A1292885)

web search: 
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench market' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 75ms:
{
  "question": "Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage",
  "description": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BET-M 33 and FORZE Reload in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"BET-M 33\" if BET-M 33 win the match against FORZE Reload.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"FORZE Reload\" if FORZE Reload win the match against BET-M 33.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event\u2019s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team\u2019s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.",
  "outcomes": [
    "BET-M 33",
    "FORZE Reload"
  ],
  "prices": [
    0.58,
    0.42
  ],
  "best_bid": 0.54,
  "best_ask": 0.62,
  "end_date": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
  "stake": 100.0,
  "seconds_left": 243
}

web search: https://www.hltv.org/matches/2399077/bet-m-vs-forze-reload-nodwin-clutch-series-13
web search: 
web search: "BET-M" "FORZE Reload" "odds" "October 14, 2026" ...
web search: 
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "bench book --outcome 'FORZE Reload'" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 0ms:
{
  "outcome": "FORZE Reload",
  "bids": [
    {
      "price": "0.4",
      "size": "12.5"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.39",
      "size": "32.82"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.38",
      "size": "43.16"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.37",
      "size": "93.51"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.36",
      "size": "1388.89"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.35",
      "size": "14.29"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.34",
      "size": "14.71"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.33",
      "size": "9.09"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.28",
      "size": "120"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.27",
      "size": "18.52"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.26",
      "size": "110"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.25",
      "size": "1279"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.22",
      "size": "25"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.19",
      "size": "320"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.18",
      "size": "988.6"
    }
  ],
  "asks": [
    {
      "price": "0.46",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.47",
      "size": "20"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.48",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.49",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.5",
      "size": "76.28"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.51",
      "size": "122.44"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.53",
      "size": "10.64"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.54",
      "size": "10.87"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.55",
      "size": "11.11"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.56",
      "size": "40"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.57",
      "size": "191.63"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.58",
      "size": "31.9"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.59",
      "size": "82"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.6",
      "size": "50"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.61",
      "size": "1045.6"
    }
  ],
  "last_trade_price": "0.48"
}

web search: https://esportsinsider.com/es/cuotas-apuestas/counter-strike/partidos/33-vs-forze-reload-1727856
web search: 
web search: "BET-M" "FORZE Reload" "14" "2026" "Lack1" ...
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc 'bench market' in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 65ms:
{
  "question": "Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage",
  "description": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BET-M 33 and FORZE Reload in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"BET-M 33\" if BET-M 33 win the match against FORZE Reload.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"FORZE Reload\" if FORZE Reload win the match against BET-M 33.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event\u2019s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team\u2019s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.",
  "outcomes": [
    "BET-M 33",
    "FORZE Reload"
  ],
  "prices": [
    0.57,
    0.43
  ],
  "best_bid": 0.54,
  "best_ask": 0.6,
  "end_date": "2026-10-14T20:00:00Z",
  "stake": 100.0,
  "seconds_left": 133
}

codex
The matchup looks close, but I found a roster issue that could change the pick: HLTV’s team page marks FORZE’s top-rated player, Kaide, as benched, while the match page still lists him. I’m checking whether that is a recent change. [HLTV roster](https://www.hltv.org/team/12857/forze-reload)

web search: 
web search: FORZE Reload Kaide benched October 2026 ...
web search: 
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "bench book --outcome 'BET-M 33'" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 80ms:
{
  "outcome": "BET-M 33",
  "bids": [
    {
      "price": "0.54",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.53",
      "size": "20"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.52",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.51",
      "size": "10"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.5",
      "size": "76.28"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.49",
      "size": "122.44"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.47",
      "size": "10.64"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.46",
      "size": "10.87"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.45",
      "size": "11.11"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.44",
      "size": "40"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.43",
      "size": "191.63"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.42",
      "size": "31.9"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.41",
      "size": "82"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.4",
      "size": "50"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.39",
      "size": "1045.6"
    }
  ],
  "asks": [
    {
      "price": "0.6",
      "size": "22.5"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.61",
      "size": "32.82"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.62",
      "size": "33.16"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.63",
      "size": "93.51"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.64",
      "size": "1388.89"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.65",
      "size": "14.29"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.66",
      "size": "14.71"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.67",
      "size": "120"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.73",
      "size": "29.63"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.74",
      "size": "110"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.75",
      "size": "1279"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.77",
      "size": "21.73"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.78",
      "size": "25"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.81",
      "size": "320"
    },
    {
      "price": "0.82",
      "size": "988.6"
    }
  ],
  "last_trade_price": "0.52"
}

web search: site:forze.gg "Kaide" "13.10.2026" ...
web search: 
web search: "Kaide присоединился к FORZE Reload" "запасных" ...
exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "python - <<'PY'
import requests
from bs4 import BeautifulSoup
r=requests.get('https://forze.gg/',timeout=12)
s=BeautifulSoup(r.text,'html.parser')
for a in s.find_all('a',href=True):
 if 'kaide' in (a.get_text(' ',strip=True)+' '+a['href']).lower():
  print(a.get_text(' ',strip=True), a['href'])
PY" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 exited 1 in 0ms:
Traceback (most recent call last):
  File "<stdin>", line 2, in <module>
ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'bs4'

exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "python - <<'PY'
import requests,re
r=requests.get('https://forze.gg/',timeout=10)
print(r.status_code)
for link in re.findall(r'href=[\\\"\\x27](["'^'"\\\"\\x27]+)',r.text):
 if 'kaide' in link.lower(): print(link)
PY" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 exited 1 in 297ms:
Traceback (most recent call last):
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connectionpool.py", line 468, in _make_request
    self._validate_conn(conn)
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connectionpool.py", line 1109, in _validate_conn
    conn.connect()
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connection.py", line 642, in connect
    sock_and_verified = _ssl_wrap_socket_and_match_hostname(
                        ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connection.py", line 783, in _ssl_wrap_socket_and_match_hostname
    ssl_sock = ssl_wrap_socket(
               ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/util/ssl_.py", line 471, in ssl_wrap_socket
    ssl_sock = _ssl_wrap_socket_impl(sock, context, tls_in_tls, server_hostname)
               ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/util/ssl_.py", line 515, in _ssl_wrap_socket_impl
    return ssl_context.wrap_socket(sock, server_hostname=server_hostname)
           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3.12/ssl.py", line 455, in wrap_socket
    return self.sslsocket_class._create(
           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3.12/ssl.py", line 1042, in _create
    self.do_handshake()
  File "/usr/lib/python3.12/ssl.py", line 1320, in do_handshake
    self._sslobj.do_handshake()
ssl.SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: unable to get local issuer certificate (_ssl.c:1000)

During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:

Traceback (most recent call last):
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connectionpool.py", line 791, in urlopen
    response = self._make_request(
               ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connectionpool.py", line 492, in _make_request
    raise new_e
urllib3.exceptions.SSLError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: unable to get local issuer certificate (_ssl.c:1000)

The above exception was the direct cause of the following exception:

Traceback (most recent call last):
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/requests/adapters.py", line 486, in send
    resp = conn.urlopen(
           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/connectionpool.py", line 845, in urlopen
    retries = retries.increment(
              ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/urllib3/util/retry.py", line 517, in increment
    raise MaxRetryError(_pool, url, reason) from reason  # type: ignore[arg-type]
    ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
urllib3.exceptions.MaxRetryError: HTTPSConnectionPool(host='forze.gg', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: / (Caused by SSLError(SSLCertVerificationError(1, '[SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: unable to get local issuer certificate (_ssl.c:1000)')))

During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:

Traceback (most recent call last):
  File "<stdin>", line 2, in <module>
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/requests/api.py", line 73, in get
    return request("get", url, params=params, **kwargs)
           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/requests/api.py", line 59, in request
    return session.request(method=method, url=url, **kwargs)
           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/requests/sessions.py", line 589, in request
    resp = self.send(prep, **send_kwargs)
           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/requests/sessions.py", line 703, in send
    r = adapter.send(request, **kwargs)
        ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
  File "/usr/lib/python3/dist-packages/requests/adapters.py", line 517, in send
    raise SSLError(e, request=request)
requests.exceptions.SSLError: HTTPSConnectionPool(host='forze.gg', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: / (Caused by SSLError(SSLCertVerificationError(1, '[SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: unable to get local issuer certificate (_ssl.c:1000)')))

web search: 
web search: site:forze.gg/ "Татаринов" "Kaide" -inurl:vse-novosti ...
codex
I’m choosing BET-M 33 at 62% confidence. FORZE’s official site confirms Kaide was benched yesterday; that roster disruption strengthens BET-M’s existing edge, though the match page still lists him. I’ll cap the purchase price at 0.65. [FORZE announcement](https://forze.gg/vse-novosti/)

exec
/usr/bin/zsh -lc "bench bet --outcome 'BET-M 33' --confidence 0.62 --max-price 0.65 --rationale 'BET-M is the higher HLTV-ranked side and a modest bookmaker favorite, while FORZE officially announced captain Kaide benched on October 13. I estimate BET-M at 62% after that roster disruption, with confidence tempered by the conflicting match-page lineup and competitive prior FORZE form.' --quote 'Your model checked the win streak. Mine checked who is still on the team.'" in /tmp/apb-44-codex-4qkg7gxc
 succeeded in 4314ms:
{
  "placed": true,
  "outcome": "BET-M 33",
  "avg_price": 0.6055,
  "shares": 165.1541,
  "stake_filled": 100.0,
  "unspent": 0.0,
  "quote": "Your model checked the win streak. Mine checked who is still on the team."
}

codex
Placed **100 tokens on BET-M 33** at **0.6055**, receiving **165.1541 shares**.

Estimated win probability: **62%**. Key factor: FORZE’s [announcement that captain Kaide was benched](https://forze.gg/vse-novosti/).