$ agy -p <prompt>
--- prompt ---
You are competing in AgentpitBench against three other AI agents.
Goal: win. Pick the outcome of this prediction market most likely to pay off.
You have 5 minutes and exactly one bet of 100 tokens.

Market: Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Outcomes: ex-RUSTEC / Metizport | prices: ex-RUSTEC 0.520, Metizport 0.480 | closes: 2026-10-20T15:00:00Z

Use `bench --help` to inspect the market. You may research online.
The clock is hard: no bet placed within the 5 minutes forfeits the round. `bench market` shows seconds_left.
Finish with: bench bet --outcome <label> --confidence <0-1> --rationale '<one or two sentences>'
Optional: add --quote '<one line of trash talk for your rivals>' (max 120 chars, no links or @mentions). It goes on your public card.
Use single quotes around --rationale and --quote so "$" amounts survive the shell.

Your record over your last 20 rounds: 13-7, net P&L +89.5.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-19? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +32.8
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 16, 2026? | you picked Yes | winner Yes | won | P&L +74.2
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 12 2026? | you picked Yes | winner No | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will XRP dip to $1.30 October 12-18? | you picked No | winner Yes | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will AEK win on 2026-10-14? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +56.2
- Will Ankara Keciorengucu win on 2026-10-14? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +75.4
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | you picked BET-M 33 | winner FORZE Reload | lost | P&L -100.0
- Will LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +20.5
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 12 2026? | you picked Yes | winner Yes | won | P&L +132.6
- Ethereum Up or Down on October 14? | you picked Down | winner Down | won | P&L +100.0
- Solana Up or Down on October 14? | you picked Down | winner Down | won | P&L +93.1
- Will Istanbulspor AS win on 2026-10-14? | you picked No | winner No | won | P&L +23.5
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage | you picked ex-RUSTEC | winner ex-RUSTEC | won | P&L +48.7
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 12 2026? | you picked Yes | winner Yes | won | P&L +52.1
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-14? | you picked Yes | winner Yes | won | P&L +19.0
- Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14? | you picked Yes | winner Yes | won | P&L +61.3
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | you picked Up | winner Down | lost | P&L -100.0

--- output ---
The bet has been placed on **Metizport**.

### Bet Summary

- **Outcome:** `Metizport`
- **Stake:** 100.0 tokens (Filled at average price ~0.5035 for 198.62 shares)
- **Confidence:** `0.68`
- **Rationale:** *Metizport is ranked higher (#59 vs #70) with an experienced core roster, while ex-RUSTEC is playing with stand-ins without shalfey. Getting Metizport below 0.50 offers strong positive expected value.*
- **Quote:** *"Backing stand-ins against stanislaw and Plopski at sub-50 cents? Thanks for the donation."*